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May 30, 2012

Belgium: A Coach Short of a Rising Force!

There is one team in Europe that will not be present at the Euros this summer that has the potential to have a big impact at the next World Cup. That team is Belgium. 

Renowned for their wonderful talents of the 1980’s and 90’s and  a successful World Cup and European record during that time, not much has gone right for the Red Devils since. Looking back at their history of players during that time its a who’s who of European football legends: Eric Gerets, Ludovic Koeck, Marc Vercauteren, Jan Caulemans, Enzo Scifo, Michel Preudhomme and Marc Wilmots all left a significant mark on the European stage.
 
Since then however the talent pool dried up and Belgian football went into steady decline. The 2000’s have proven to be fruitless years for the Belgians with little success or recognition on the international stage.
 
The current crop of young players making their mark at club and international level however look set to change all that in the near future. In goals the young 19 year old Atletico keeper Courtouis had a splendid season showing real class, maturity and reflexes. His performace in the Europa League Final was one of maturity and presence, amazing for someone so young.  The defence is stocked with well renowned players playing at the highest level. Vermaelen of Arsenal and Kompany of Man City form a formidable partnership at centre back, with the highly rated Ajax captain Vertonghen plays at left back. At right back, Aldeweireld also playing at Ajax, has shown glimpses of potential at the highest level.
 
The midfield has the irrepressible Fellaini of Everton and a player I hugely admire, Axel Witsel of Benfica pulling the strings. He is one of those midfielders that seems to have it all, able to dictate the play and score but also work hard and cover the defence. On the wings is probably the most wanted man in European football at the moment, Eden Hazard, hugely skilful and capable of frequent scoring. Mertens of PSV has had an outstanding season and reminds me of Marc Overmars with his small stature and pace on the dribble. The talented youngster DeBruyne has recently been signed by no less than Champions League winners Chelsea.
 
The striking department has the young striker of Olympiacos Mirailas who has has also had an outstanding and prolific season. Partnered with Dembele of Fulham, Belgium on paper looks like a dangerous team with skilful imaginative attacking players and an experienced and solid defence. The highly rated Chelsea youngster Lukaku also waits for his chance should he develop into the striker people predict he will be.
 
Their results thus far may not have been spectacular and they are currently without a full time coach, but should the Belgian Football Association get it right and appoint the right man to guide this young and talented team, they should be able to qualify and make a mark at the next World Cup in Brazil 2014.  Belgium has a high profile friendly match against England this weekend. Regardless of the result, the appointment of the right coach in the very near future might see Belgium as a rising force on the world stage once more. 

May 22, 2012

EURO 2012 PREVIEW

With the European Championships around the corner it's worth having a look at the strengths and weaknesses of each team and evaluate their likely line-ups.  Every international tournament springs surprises and the likes of Greece, Denmark, Ireland and Ukraine will be hopeful they might be the ones this time round however the playing field seems to be stronger than ever.  The heavyweights of Spain and Germany appear too strong on paper and in terms of current form but if there's anything this European league season has taught us, it's that anything is possible with luck and a good game plan.. 


Group A
Group A is probably the most open of the four groups. The battle for top spot is likely to be between Poland and Greece however Russia may cause a surprise as they did at Euro 2008. The Czech Republic lacks the quality to progress further.
 
Poland:  4-2-3-1 Szczesny; Piszcek Wasilewski Perquis Warwzyniak; Polanski Murawski; Blaszykowski Obraniak Peszko; Lewandowski 

Strengths: Home ground advantage, a centre forward in top form, a fine goalkeeper 
Weaknesses: Lack of experience at this level, fans pressure and lack of midfield quality
Watch out for: Scezcny, Piszcek, Lewandowski
 
Greece: 4-3-3 Tzorvas; Torosidis  Papadopoulos Papastathopoulos Holebas; Karagounis, Katsouranis Tziolis; Ninis Gekas Samaras

Strengths: Creative attacking mids/strikers, patience that is required at this level, a more attacking attitude than the past
Weaknesses: New defence lacks experience at international level, lack of speed in transition.  
Watch out for: Papastathopoulos, Ninis, Samaras
 
Russia:   4-4-2 Malafeev; Anyukov Berezutsky Ignashevich Zhirkov; Denisov Semshov Zyryanov Dzakoev; Arshavin Pavlyuchenko

Strengths: Experience from Euro 2008, good crowd support, tricky forwards.  
Weaknesses: Key players past their best, loss of surprise element 
Watch out for: Berezutsky, Arshavin, Pavlyuchenko

Czech R.:   4-5-1 Cech; GebreSelasie Sivok Kadlec Limbersky; Stajner Plasil Rosicky Jiracek Rezek ; Baros

Strengths: A goalkeeper in top form, organisation, swift counter attacks
Weaknesses: No real X-factor, if Rosicky is kept quiet then lack of creativity will hinder them.  
Watch out for: Cech, Kadlec, Rosicky

Group B
The Group of Death! The Germans will most likely dominate however Holland and Portugal will push them all the way. Winner of these two will be very dangerous in knockout rounds.The Danes will also cause an upset at some point.
 
Germany   4-2-3-1 Neuer; Lahm Boateng Hummels Badstuber; Schweinsteiger Khedira; Ozil Reus Podolski; Gomez
 
Strengths: Extremely quick transition into attack, abundant world class options in attack, movement in final third
Weaknesses: Defence not up to standard of predecessors, a tough first round group may push them hard too early
Watch out for: Hummels, Ozil, Reus

Holland    4-3-3 Stekelenburg; VDWiel Heitinga Mathijsen Anita; Strootman VBommel Snejder; Kuyt VPersie Robben

Strengths: Familiarity with system, exceptional strikers, team with lots of experience at the highest level 
Weaknesses: Left back a problem, Sneijder and Kuyt not the players of 2 years ago, clash with Portugal a must win 
Watch out for: VDWiel, Strootman, Van Persie

Portugal   4-3-3 Patricio; Bosingwa Alves Pepe Contreao; Moutinho Veloso Meireles; Nani Postiga Ronaldo 

Strengths: The form of Ronaldo, very dangerous wingers, solid and technical midfield and defence  
Weaknesses: Lack of international class centre forward and goalkeeper.  
Watch out for: Pepe, Moutinho, Ronaldo

Denmark  4-3-3 Sorensen; Jacobsen Kjaer Agger Poulsen; Eriksen Kvist Zimling; Rommehdahl Bendtner KrohnDehli  
 
Strengths: Fast hungry players, experts of the 4-3-3 system, directness  
Weaknesses: Defence will be severely tested, placed in Group of Death, over-reliance on wing play
Watch out for: Agger, Eriksen, Bendtner

Group C
Spain is the hot favourite for the tournament and only Italy can seriously test them from this group. Croatia are not to be underestimated and have the class to progress but Ireland may find themselves out of their league. 
 
Spain:   4-2-3-1  Casillas; Arbeloa Ramos Pique Alba; Xavi Alonso; Silva Fabregas Iniesta; Soldado  

Strengths: Ball possession, combination play, most technical players in Europe, strongest midfield in the world. 
Weaknesses: Possible rift between Madrid/Barcelona players, loss of Puyol in defence and Villa in attack
Watch out for: Iniesta, Fabregas, Soldado.

Italy  4-4-2 Buffon; Abate Barzagli Bonucci Chiellini; Marchisio Pirlo Montolivo DeRossi ; Cassano Balotelli
 
Strengths: Tactical discipline, strong options in midfield, unpredictable in attack
Weaknesses: Centre backs not proven on international stage, lack of width in attack
Watch out for: Pirlo, Cassano, Balotelli 
 
Croatia    4-4-2 Pletikosa; Corluka Simunic Schildenfeld Vida; Srna, Modric, Kranjcar Rakitic; Mandzukic Jelavic

Strengths: Skilful playmakers, dangerous forwards,
Weaknesses: Do not respond well to adversity, defenders likely to overdo fouls, drawn against two super powers
Watch out for: Corluka, Modric, Jelavic

Ireland     4-4-2 Given; Kelly O'Shea Dunne Ward; McClean Whelan Andrews Duff; Keane Doyle

Strengths: Coach with vast experience and tactical ability, fighting quality of team, defensive organisation.  
Weaknesses: Lack of a quality centre forward, key players past their peak, majority of players untested at this level
Watch out for: O'Shea, McClean, Keane,

Group D
Group D should be a fight between France and England. England can expect Rooney to play like an uncaged lion when he returns from suspension but both they and France do have their weaknesses. Ukraine/Sweden lack the necessary quality to beat them but anything is possible with the right tactical plan and will provide stern tests.  
 
France    4-2-3-1 Lloris; Koscielny Mexes Rami Evra; Cabaye MVila; Nasri Valbuena Ribery; Benzema 

Strengths: Hungry and determined to make amends for disappointing World Cup, lethal world class players in attack.
Weaknesses: Lack of experience in midfield, loss of Sagna and Abidal in defence due to injury 
Watch out for: Rami, Ribery, Benzema

England   4-2-3-1  Hart; Johnson Cahill Terry Cole; Lampard Barry; Walcott Gerrard Young; Rooney
 
Strengths: Expereinced and talented players all over the pitch, the form of Chelsea players
Weaknesses: Coach appointed too late, loss of playmaker (Wilshere), loss of Rooney for first 2 games due to suspension
Watch out for: Cole, Gerrard, Rooney

Ukraine   4-4-2  Piyatov; Kusher Rakitskiy Shevchuk Mikhalik; Gusev Rotan Tymoschenko Yarmolenko; Voronin Shevchenko

Strengths: Home support, surprise element, core of Shaktar players experienced in Champions League football  
Weaknesses: lack of creative midfielder, poor current form, loss of goalkeeper due to injury, forwards well past their best
Watch out for: Shevchuk, Timoschenko, Shevchenko

Sweden    4-4-2 Issakson; Grandqvist Mellberg Olsson Olsson; Elm Kjallstrom Svensson Toivonen; Elmander Ibrahimovic

Strengths: The form of Ibrahimovic, tactical organisation, always tough to beat. 
Weaknesses: Two old and mighty adversaries in their group, back four not up to international standard
Watch out for: Mellberg, Kjallstrom, Ibrahimovic
 
PREDICTION There is no one in the world willing to bet against Spain and Germany meeting in the final, however should Italy and Portugal advance into the knockout rounds from their tough groups I expect them to provide a serious challenge to the favourites in the semi finals. Greece is my tip of the 'smaller' nations to cause a major upset. 

I believe Spain will take out the title once more, there is simply too much class through the team and they are all on the same wavelength and play fantastic football. Only a game of missed scoring opportunities can stop them. 

May 13, 2012

Success Of A-League Depends On Football Fans

The end of season upheavals in the A-League have left Australian football fans wondering what more could go wrong with the game in this country. From threatening club owners, folding clubs and others in the red it seems Football Federation Australia is constantly under fire.
 
One of the fundamental causes for the problems mentioned is the poor crowd numbers seen across the league. The issue was reinforced in my mind when watching the Central Coast Mariners playing a preliminary Grand Final in front of empty stands. So what can we attribute this lack of interest to? Is it fair to state that the FFA has caused all this due to lack of marketing and bad contract deals?
 
There is no doubt that marketing is a key component when trying to attract crowds, particularly for a new product or competition. But the A-League after 7 seasons is not a new product and should be able to attract fans keen to finally be a part of a football culture in Australia. Unless they have been hiding under a rock, everyone now knows the existence of the A-League clubs, so why are the football fans not attending? 

The football fans I refer to range from those whose origins are from migrant communities and have grown up with the game to all the new football fans that embraced the Socceroos during the 2006 World Cup; from the ones who love to watch their kids play and all the the thousands that are involved in the game at grass roots; even the thousands that may not actively participate in the game but love to watch and talk about the glamorous leagues of Europe. We are not talking about a few thousand, but hundreds of thousands of people.
 
So given the above why is the league still struggling to get more than a few thousand to a game? A significant part of the blame I believe, and I say this with the risk of putting readers offside (pardon the pun), has to be apportioned to the football fans themselves! Not the ones who do attend of course but the majority that don't.
 
The FFA has perhaps not done everything perfectly but they have planted the seeds for the game to develop. The A-League is a competition with a decent standard of football, perhaps not the greatest level you could see on the global stage but skilful and entertaining enough for any football fan to enjoy. It's played in impressive facilities and a safe environment. The fact that it is usually played on balmy summer evenings away from competing football codes should also be an attraction. Add to that classy Socceroos that have played at the highest level, a number of technically gifted foreign recruits, emerging young Australian talent and entertaining high scoring (mostly) games.  

Speaking from a personal level, I know how many football fans there are around me and how many attend and I hate to report that the majority don’t participate. Could you imagine if for one weekend all of Australia’s football fans attended the matches how full the stadiums would be?
 
Reasons for not turning up are varied and some are justified. However there are other fans such as the so-called Euro snobs, fans that believe the standard of the A-League is not comparable to European football and therefore choose not to watch it. There are also fans of the old National Soccer League that don’t want to support the new league as their NSL club was harshly treated when the A-League was created.
 
As far as I’m concerned these reasons for non-attendance are not fair on the local game, because the truth is that unless Australia’s football fans unite and support the A-League then it will always be a second rate competition in the eyes of the media, and the standard of the competition will never rival Europe’s leagues and grow both in playing standard and wealth. 

Greater crowd attendance leads to increased media coverage and in turn increased revenue from sponsorship, resulting in more money in the game. Ultimately the standard rises by being able to attract better coaches and players with the increased wealth of clubs. 

It’s a vicious cycle: fans blame either the standard of the game or the lack of media coverage for non-attendance , yet don’t turn up to the stadiums to convince the media it is a competition worth reporting and helping the game grow. If the FFA solves most of its off field dramas next season then all the football fans can also do their bit for the game: attend matches!  

* photo from The Age

May 6, 2012

Will Melbourne Victory play like Brisbane Roar?

With the terrible 11/12 season over and the announcement of Ange Postecoglou as the new coach for next season, Melbourne Victory fans are looking forward to better times ahead.  The club could hardly have chosen better than a coach with 4 National championships on his CV, two of them with South Melbourne in the old NSL and two more with Brisbane Roar.

His last two in particular came with a style that has opened the eyes of the coaching fraternity in Australian football. A style based on playing from the back, adventurous full backs,  a ball playing defensive mid, an extremely mobile attacking midfield with swift passing movements and attacking with width.
 
The outgoing coach Jim Magilton however raised concerns over the quality of the playing squad during his short tenure. So keeping in mind the old tried and trusted football adage of adopting the style that suits the players, can we possibly expect Melbourne Victory to play the way Brisbane Roar has? 

Ange Postecoglou has already hinted that he might not and has announced there will be some changes to the playing roster. So let's assess whether the current squad can potentially play in the fluent and attacking 4-3-3 that Brisbane has been playing:
 
Ball played out from the back.
This requires defenders with sound technique, comfortable on the ball and calm under pressure. Adrian Lejier is not a player that distributes well and Petar Franjic is slightly better but nowhere near the level required. The defence was the Achilles of last season and new signings are most definitely required if Victory is going to play out from the back! 

Attacking full-backs.
On the right, Matthew Foschini struggles in this department and usually concentrates on his defensive priorities. Adama Traore is a good signing in terms of an attacking full back however more depth is required for this position when taking into consideration Matthew Kemp’s poor season.
 
Mobile midfield
The emergence of James Jeggo was a huge positive from a disappointing last season and has the game to play the ball playing defensive midfield role. Looking forward at attacking midfielders however Carlos Hernandez's mobility is not his forte and Ferreira and Leigh Broxham are purely suited to a defensive mid role. Best suited for attacking mid is Billy Celeski if he rediscovers his form but it is doubtful that he will. If Carlos leaves the club as rumours suggest, Victory will have to bring in two quality attacking midfielders, even if the hugely talented Harry Kewell plays in a more withdrawn role. 
 
Wingers
Victory is blessed in this department with Harry Kewell, Marco Rojas, Isaka Cernak and Julius Davies who I predict will be the revelation of the next season. Furthermore I expect Archie Thompson will be converted to a winger under Postecoglou, as he tends to prefer a traditional centre forward.
 
Centre Forward
As mentioned, Postecoglou likes the presence of a true centre forward like Solorzano or Berisha. Relying on Danny Alsopp to score 10 goals a season or to create spaces will not guarantee success, therefore Victory will surely enter the market for a signing. My money is on a foreign recruit.
 
So taking the above into consideration, unless the new players brought in can adapt easily to the Roar’s style of play and system I believe that Melbourne Victory’s style will be more cautious than the Roar’s. Although it will still be a high tempo and attacking game I expect Victory to be playing slightly deeper with two holding midfielders in Jeggo and Ferreira and transitioning quickly into attack with quick passes on the deck to the wings, probably in a 4-2-3-1 formation. 

A blueprint for this style of play is Real Madrid and if Ange Postecoglou can imitate this system then he really will be on his way to becoming the first Australian Socceroos coach since Frank Farina. 

* photo from Herald Sun